GOVERNMENT TRUST INDEX
47
/ 100
DANGER ZONE
Education
68
CM Shri Schools steady + Budget allocation ↑
Health
44
CAG audit damning + Arogya Mandir staff crisis
Infrastructure
32
FOB collapse + Chandrawal burst + Palam fire
Law & Order
46
Snatching surge NE Delhi + power cut unrest
Welfare Schemes
45
Mahila Samriddhi 45K+ helped, Budget schemes pending
Environment
34
AQI Rohini 280+ + Najafgarh drain stench
30-DAY TREND
↓ -7%
vs Last Month · Recovering from 41 low (up 6 pts)
WHY IS TRUST LOW? - Root Cause Chain
Trust Index: 47 ↓
←
Triple Infrastructure Failure
←
Chandrawal Burst + FOB Collapse + Palam Fire
←
CAG Healthcare Audit Damning
←
Power Cuts + "BJP In, Power Out"
Chandrawal pipeline burst — Central Delhi dry 3 days
+
FOB collapse Kashmere Gate — 200+ bridges need audit
+
NE Delhi: contaminated water + power cuts + sewage overflow
AI Insight: May 2026 trust trajectory is shaped by a summer dual crisis at full velocity — water shortage Day 18 (25% supply deficit, 43°C heat, Wazirabad/Sonia Vihar WTPs at 78% capacity) + power cuts Day 14 (8,500 MW demand vs 7,300 MW supply, 8-10 hr outages in East/NE/West Delhi, 5 transformer fires past week). CAG Water Audit HC counter-affidavit due Mon May 5; hearing Tue May 12. NE Delhi worst-hit: tanker queues 2-3 hrs + #BijliPaaniBehaal at 5.8M impressions + Hardeep Khatri summer compilations — trust at 28 (down from 34). Positives offsetting: Mahila Samriddhi 95K women receiving (Day 55, race to 1L by May 15) + Lakhpati Bitiya Day 31 (18,400 enrolled, 320 schools, first bike batch May 15) + Pink Saheli 1.25L+ cards + 96 Atal Canteens / 24L meals + NTPC 400 MW emergency tie-up signed Apr 30 (online Mon May 4) + Operation Kavach −31% MoM. Trust dipped 1 point this week — from 51 (Apr 26) to 50 today; clean execution on twin-pressure Mon May 5 (assembly + HC counter-affidavit) + NTPC supply landing can stabilise at 50 and push to 53 by May 15 milestone. Without intervention, trust risks dropping to 46 if 44°C+ heat-wave persists past mid-May without new supply visibility.
Sector-wise Trust Analysis
Education
68
STABLE
CM Shri Schools steady + Budget allocation boost
Health
44
CAG AUDIT
CAG damning report + Arogya Mandir staff crisis + PAC directive
Infrastructure
32
TRIPLE FAILURE
FOB collapse + Chandrawal burst + Palam fire
Law & Order
46
DECLINING
Snatching surge NE Delhi + power cut unrest + Hardeep Khatri
Welfare Schemes
45
MIXED
Pink Saheli 45K+ helped, but Budget schemes yet to launch
Environment
34
CRITICAL
AQI Rohini 280+ + Najafgarh drain + summer heat incoming
Historical Trust Trend
Recovery Forecast — June 2026
AI-predicted trust recovery scenarios (3-month horizon)
Current Score: 47 | Recovering from 41 low point (up 6 pts) — Budget + IFFD momentum
With Recommended Actions → Recovery to 58 by June 2026
1. IMMEDIATE: Scale Mahila Samriddhi to 1 lakh women
2. URGENT: Fix Chandrawal pipeline + 200+ FOB safety audit
3. HIGH: Prepare summer power plan — prevent "BJP In, Power Out"
4. MEDIUM: Healthcare reform per CAG/PAC directive by June
Without Intervention → Drop to 42 by May 2026
Risk: Palam fire + Chandrawal + power cuts = triple infrastructure failure narrative
District-wise Trust Index — May 2026
New Delhi
68
IFFD + Budget boost — highest
South Delhi
62
IFFD Siri Fort + Budget positive
North Delhi
48
FOB collapse + Pink Saheli 45K+ helping
North West
45
AQI Rohini 280+ + civic complaints + power cuts
West Delhi
43
Palam fire fallout + Hardeep Khatri videos
South West
40
Palam fire zone + Najafgarh drain
East Delhi
36
Contaminated water + power cuts + snatching
Central Delhi
32
Chandrawal burst — dry 3 days + FOB
North East Delhi
28
LOWEST — water + power + civic + sewage